Sports playing can be extremely profitable if a person know the tricks the “smart money” bettors apply to consistently make money. Most significant secrets that intelligent money gamblers use will be knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a ideal instance. I actually analyzed the Western world Va vs. Louisville activity, and concluded of which West Florida had the edge in the sport. However , I also realized that there were a good deal of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they accomplish not guarantee on this game. Here is my analysis I released prior to the game:

West Virginia or Louisville

This activity offers all the indications of being one of the very best games regarding the year, along with the two teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, both with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, using Western world Virginia coming backside from being down large in the fourth 1 fourth to winning inside overtime.

So what’s the action look like this year?

When this activity were appearing played with the neutral field, West California would likely probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since typically the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented spin. These people haven’t lost since March. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they dropped to Florida Tech. In the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last being unfaithful video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 STREET games.

These types of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt this scales in favor connected with WVU regarding tonight’s game. Plus, the particular added in reward is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This might not appear like quite a bit, but in a close up match-up like this, that special point could make the variation between the push and even a loss.

But what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling are generally almost as good because WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville in the point spread. In , Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS within their last 10 home video games.

In addition to if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in your own home since January 17, 2003! During this latest run Louisville is averaging 49. five points for every game at home, while averaging only letting go of 15. 8 points every game on home. In case a person decided not to do the math, that means considering that their last home damage they also have averaged beating their very own competitors simply by about 34 details per game.

In addition extraordinary, the average line during these games has only also been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten the particular range, on average, by simply 13 things per sport at home given that 2003.

Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?

Here’s just how…

Most of those stats were being built up during the 2005 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been closer to very good than great. They already have had recent games in which they also have only scored 28, 23, 24 points. And these activities weren’t against Kansas Stycken. or Michigan. They were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

To put it succinctly that will this is still the close match to phone. Yet the things i look to get is West Virginia’s safety to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s simply no cause to think WVU can’t hold them to typically the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest endorsement is usually to lay off this kind of game and not gamble at all. There are usually better activities this weekend break with more clear-cut positive aspects.

The final score of this game was Louisville forty four, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to gain the punt for a new TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s border wasn’t so big that they can may possibly still win after producing so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this particular match, people really serious about wagering saved money they can put to better make use of on coming games.