Sports gambling is often very profitable if anyone know the techniques the particular “smart money” bettors make use of to consistently make income. One of the primary secrets that clever money gamblers use will be knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a best illustration. My partner and i analyzed the Western Virginia vs. , and concluded that West Las vegas had this edge in the video game. However , I actually also came to the realization that there are a lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not gamble on this specific game. Here is my own analysis I released before the game:

West Virginia vs . Louisville

This video game features all the signs of being one regarding the most effective games connected with the year, together with the two teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, the two using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, using Western world Virginia coming back from staying down major in the next quarter to winning inside overtime, however,.

So what’s the sport appearance like this year?

In the event that this match were getting played in some sort of basic field, West Florida would likely probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since the particular game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia can be on an unprecedented throw. They will haven’t lost considering March. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they shed to California Tech. On the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last nine video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 PATH games.

These types of are some very remarkable stats that tilt typically the scales in favor associated with WVU intended for tonight’s game. Plus, the particular added bonus offer is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This will likely not seem to be like significantly, but in a shut match-up this way, that excess point might make the change between a good push together with a loss.

But some of us wonder what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers are almost as good while WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their very own previous 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS into their previous 10 home activities.

Plus if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t lost at your home since December 18, the year 2003! During this present run Louisville is averaging 49. five points each game in your house, while hitting only letting go of 15. 7 points for every game with home. In case you decided not to do the math concepts, that means considering that their very own last home loss they’ve averaged beating his or her oppositions by means of about thirty four things per game.

In addition amazing, the average line during these games has only also been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten this pass on, on average, by 13 items per online game at home considering 2003.

Wow… how can you go against that?

Here’s exactly how…

Many of those stats had been developed during the 2004 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They’ve acquired recent games by which they also have only scored 36, 23, 24 points. And these online games weren’t against Oh Stycken. or Michigan. They have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

To put it succinctly the fact that this is still a new close match to phone. Nevertheless the things i look regarding is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s virtually no purpose to think WVU can’t have one to the particular low to middle of the 20’s. My honest recommendation will be to lay off this game and certainly not guarantee at all. There will be better video games this weekend break with more clear-cut positive aspects.

The final score on this game was Louisville 46, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to give back a new punt for a TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s fringe has not been so big they will may still win soon after producing so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this particular match, people critical concerning wagering saved money many people can offer better use on future games.